Insights & Trends

GLP-1s in away from home: IGD’s 2026 predictions

January 2026

By Shannon Goldsmith, senior insight analyst, IGD

The GLP-1 landscape continues to evolve rapidly. Growing attention and acceptance saw the proportion of people who have personally used the weight loss drugs grow by 1.1pp from June to September last year.

Our early research into the impact of GLP-1s has explored how users are changing their consumption behaviours both in and out of home. As we enter the new year, what could be the impact on the future of the away from home market?

How often and how much consumers eat out will dip

Almost a third of GLP-1 users say they are visiting restaurants less since they started taking the drugs, rising to 43% for fast food restaurants.  When they do choose to eat out, users are often opting for healthier dishes or smaller portions.

Eating out less often and eating less per occasion are worrying prospects for away from home operators. However, we have already seen operators start to cater for this dietary change, for example [US-based] Cuba Libre’s “GLP-Wonderful” menu of dishes which are high in protein and fibre and low in fat. While this menu has required additional development time in working with a certified obesity expert, there are opportunities within existing menus as a quick way to meet these new needs, for example smaller portions of existing dishes or making more of small plates and sharing dishes.

2026 prediction: Operators will react to lower footfall and spend with targeted menus. Nutritionist-approved dishes will likely start in higher-end restaurants, while quick service restaurants will stick to the common shortcuts that consumers are familiar with, like ‘high protein’ or ‘good for gut health’ and add these to menus as customisable options.

New food preferences will shape food trends

Food preferences are evolving among GLP-1 users, with a noticeable shift away from fatty, sweet, or creamy foods toward more savoury, hot, and crunchy options. Due to the significant reduction in calorie intake, there is an increased emphasis on food’s functionality, with individuals seeking to maximise nutritional value in smaller portions.

As more consumers begin using weight loss drugs, restaurant operators will need to consider these changing preferences when developing future menus. When people dine out in groups, it’s often the person with specific dietary requirements who reviews the menu beforehand to ensure their needs will be met. This individual can influence where the group decides to eat. As a result, offering options that appeal to GLP-1 users can affect the overall group’s choice of restaurant.

Retailers have already kicked off 2026 with innovative product launches aimed at GLP-1 users, covering both food-to-go and meal solutions, providing strong competition for out of home dining.

2026 prediction: It is unlikely that hospitality venues will introduce major menu changes aimed specifically at GLP-1 users in the near future. While we do not anticipate dedicated GLP-1 menus, we do expect to see more targeted dishes gradually appearing on menus, catering to both users and non-users.

Where consumers choose to go will be based on more than the food and drink on offer

Food-led sectors (restaurants, QSRs) are not the only sectors affected by lower visit frequencies. GLP-1 users also claim to be visiting pubs and bars less and ordering fewer drinks when they do. In part, this is being driven by a wider shift away from alcohol consumption for general health and wellness reasons. However, it has been reported that GLP-1s dampen the desire for alcohol, this alongside the high calorie count means that alcoholic drinks are less likely to fit into these consumers’ lifestyles.

Overall, consumers are placing less focus on food and drinks when going out, so operators must find new ways to encourage visits. Venues that have already introduced competitive socialising options are ahead, offering people opportunities to connect outside their homes without making food and drink the main attraction. For example, Market Halls’ Oxford Street site has been rebranded as ‘Games Hall’, adding pool tables, virtual darts, and shuffleboard alongside food vendors and bars. Places like this are likely to become popular spots for both GLP-1 users and non-users, as they offer a relaxed environment to socialise and cater to a variety of needs.

2026 prediction: The leisure sector will benefit as consumers free up their disposable income to spend in other areas, for example cinemas, gyms and competitive socialising venues. More traditional food and drink -led operators will look to incorporate more leisure elements and concepts where possible to appeal to these evolving consumer preferences.

Next steps for the away from home market

This landscape is rapidly changing. Growing uptake of the medications will mean new learnings and insights. This can pose a threat to the away from home market, with penetration, frequency and spend all being impacted. However, while growing, GLP-1 users do still represent a small proportion of the overall population, so while adaptations will need to be made to appeal to users and retain as many visits as possible, operators shouldn’t lose sight of the rest of the audience.

Keep up to date with all of IGD’s GLP-1 research here.

Insights & Trends

New School Food Standards: turning regulation into opportunity 

September 2026

by Fiona Hamilton, director of strategic growth 

England’s school food landscape is entering a significant period of change. Proposed new School Food Standards are set to raise nutritional expectations, tighten controls on HFSS foods and introduce greater emphasis on compliance and enforcement. 

The potential impact  

For food and drink suppliers, the important question should be: what will schools need from us to make the new rules work? 

Operators are set to face a difficult balancing act; managing healthier options, budget constraints, portion and weight requirements, staffing pressures, allergens and operational complexity – all while still serving food pupils actually want to eat. 

As one school cook puts it: 

“It can be difficult when you’re trying to balance healthier food, tight budgets and all the different rules we have to follow – it’s an added layer to an already complex situation.” 

Can schools make new standards work? 

The sector believes they can – but previous experience shows the commercial risks of getting implementation wrong. 

Tracey Smith, CEO, Schools & Universities, Sodexo UK & Ireland, says: 

“Last time the standards changed it was a fundamental shift in the whole feeding of pupils… we all thought we wouldn’t get through it… but it was the right thing to do.” 

For Luke Consiglio, founder and CEO of education caterer, The Pantry, the impact was more challenging: 

“We saw a decrease in meal uptake, we saw an increase in food costs… I just don’t believe there’s been enough work done underneath that headline.” 

Meg Hughes, director of nutrition and sustainability at Compass Education, experienced a similar issue during a pilot: 

“We had a loss of sales of over 50% in the secondary school that did the pilot… It cost us a lot of money to do that pilot for six weeks.” 

And Deborah Batchelor, managing director and owner of education caterer Stir Food highlights the fundamental commercial measure: 

“If we go too far with the restrictions, we’re actually going to turn pupils away, because the measure of our success is uptake.” 

For suppliers, the challenge is to help caterers meet the standards without adding cost or complexity – or compromising what pupils actually want to eat. 

The opportunity 

The new standards create a clear opportunity for suppliers to think beyond the product and start solving the problems around it. 

Operators want healthier, practical solutions that work in the reality of a school kitchen – from product formats and pack sizes to allergen information, menu inspiration and operational support. 

A school cook’s wish list is revealing: 

“I’d like suppliers to make things easier for us by providing clear allergen and weight information, smaller pack sizes, more delivery options and more ideas for healthy dishes and snacks that we can actually use in schools.” 

And operators want suppliers to get closer to the reality of their businesses. 

Deborah Batchelor says: 

“Come and see what we’re actually doing… If you can reduce allergens, we will be able to choose more of it.” 

For Tracey Smith, collaboration is key: 

“How can we all collaboratively work together to look at how we can reduce that plate cost? … how can we think together using our insight and our data?” 

What this means for suppliers 

The strongest suppliers in education will be those that understand the challenges behind the standards and build their proposition around them. 

That could mean healthier products that don’t compromise taste or uptake, clearer information that makes compliance easier, formats and pack sizes designed around real school-kitchen constraints, or practical menu inspiration that helps turn compliant ingredients into food children want to eat. 

It also means getting closer to operators and understanding the problems they are actually trying to solve. 

This is where the commercial opportunity lies 

At William Murray, we help food and drink businesses turn customer insight into commercial advantage – understanding what buyers and operators need, translating those needs into stronger propositions, and creating the content, campaigns and engagement that take those propositions to market. 

The proposed new School Food Standards are a regulatory change. But also a market signal.  

The suppliers that understand this shift – and use it to solve real operator problems – will be better placed not just to support schools, but to build stronger propositions and unlock growth in education. 

Get set for success 

The standards are changing. Is your proposition ready? Let’s talk. Contact Anita Murray. 

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Quotes gathered from 1:1 interview with a secondary school catering manager and the Arena Feeding the Future: Rethinking Catering in Education event