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A look to the future: guest blog from Simon Stenning

April 2020

 


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“I see greater polarisation between service experience-led restaurants and those using tech, however consumers will need to pay more for the service experience, as capacities are going to be reduced for social distancing measures.”

Foodservice as we know it has changed forever. It’s not just the current closures, or threat of December – eight. whole. months. – until we might be able to join friends and enjoy a cool, bitter pint in the pub.  

As staying in becomes the new (mandatory) going out, it’s the threat of consumers’ habits changing, or a nation becoming more fearful of get togethers and mass gatherings. It’s the operational changes our restaurants, bars and caterers will need to make to ensure their survival. 

Following on from last week’s blog on ‘the new normal’ and learnings our industry will take into the future, we spoke to Simon Stenning – our insight partner – who has taken a look to the future, pondering the business changes he thinks will be more prevalent in the new normal. 

Simon says: “In scenario planning that I have been doing for clients, I have mapped out various ways in which business will change according to consumer behaviour and demographics, the macro-economic drivers, and from a business model perspective.

“The most significant difference is going to be in business models, with the following key changes:


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A need for greater net profit margins

“Hospitality operators will seek greater net profit margins, with anything <10% no longer acceptable (as it has been), recognising that cash generation and greater reserves is important. If a 5% drop in revenue on any given week means that the business loses money, this is not sustainable, so greater resilience and stability will be sought.

A move towards reducing labour costs

“Operators will seek to reduce labour costs if their business is not providing a high level of service experience, by using technology to replace front of house staff. Tech solutions such as www.Checkfer.com which uses beacon technology to allow consumers to order and pay from the table, or in the case with their app for Pret A Manger, enables the scanning of digital shelf labels to process and pay for products without going to the counter. Checkfer is now developing an industry-wide consumer-facing app called OrderPay which will work in all signed-up brands, but delivers an operator-branded experience through beacon technology. These solutions, which negate the need for staff interaction and card payment machines, will be the biggest change going forward.

 

A polarisation between tech led and experience led restaurants

“This will lead to greater polarisation between service experience-led restaurants and those using tech, however consumers will need to pay more for the service experience, as capacities are going to be reduced for social distancing measures.”


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The new normal: a personal view

“I am so looking forward to being able to get out and experience the fantastic hospitality from our industry, and have mapped out the places and operations that I will make sure to visit, from a big steak at Hawksmoor, to a blow-out at MeatLiquor, a bacon naan at Dishoom, and a visit to Giplin Lodge in the Lake District to taste Hrishikesh Desai’s food, along with visits to the restaurants that I had to cancel pre-lockdown – Restaurant Story, Hand & Flowers and J SHeekey (I did have a few celebrations planned!).

“I will have concerns about mass gatherings in busy places, not from a personal fear, but from the worry about a future spike happening before any vaccine is developed and distributed, as a series of rolling lockdowns will be catastrophic for the industry.

The long term trends: purpose & fulfilment 

“And lastly, I have outlined a couple of long term consumer trends from my report on the Future 2030, that are more relevant now – Purpose and Fulfilment – and I will also be living my life with greater purpose towards caring for society and for the planet, and will also be setting out new goals so that I can achieve greater fulfilment from all areas of my business and personal life.”

To book in a free consultation with us on how best to reach customers as you plan for market changes, give us a call on 0208 256 1360 or email belinda@williammurray.co.uk

 

 

Insights & Trends

Planning for 2027? Don’t start with the marketing plan 

September 2026

by Anita Murray, CEO, William Murray  

For food, drink and hospitality businesses, 2027 budgets are starting to take shape. Campaigns are being mapped out and calendars are tentatively filling up with launches, events, content and communications activity. 

Before deciding what marketing activity your business needs next year, there is a more important consideration: What does the business need to achieve – and what could get in the way? 

The more specific the objectives and obstacles, the easier it becomes to make useful, strategic decisions about marketing and communications that will help businesses grow with greater certainty. 

Six questions to take into your 2027 planning 

  1. What are our most important growth objectives?

Be specific about what the business needs to achieve. Which customers, markets, products or relationships matter most? Where does growth need to come from, and what would meaningful progress look like by the end of 2027?  

Whether the ambition is to win new customers, enter a market, grow a category or create demand for innovation, the marketing plan needs a clear commercial destination. 

  1. What are the biggest obstacles to achieving them?

Where is growth most likely to get stuck? It could be competitive pressure, customer perception, differentiation, credibility, market position, lack of influence or something operational that communications needs to help address.  

Identifying the obstacle changes the conversation from “What should we do?” to “What needs to change?” 

  1. Has our market position changed?

Markets move quickly. Competitors evolve, customer expectations shift and propositions that once stood out can become familiar. Ask whether the position that worked previously will still be compelling in 2027. 

That means looking beyond your own brand. What are competitors now claiming? What do customers value? Where has the market become crowded? What new expectations have emerged? 

  1. What do our customers actually value now? 

Planning often begins with what a business wants to say. A stronger starting point is understanding what customers need to hear, believe or experience before they will change behaviour. 

Our 2026 From Visibility to Influence research found a clear gap between the messages suppliers believe they are communicating and how those messages can be experienced by operators. Suppliers talked about innovation, sustainability, partnership and understanding their customers. Operators told us they wanted clearer value, practical solutions, proof and transparency. 

That gap has commercial consequences. 

In a pressured foodservice environment, operators are already dealing with labour shortages, cost pressures, sustainability demands and supply chain challenges. Communications that add complexity or make broad claims without evidence are unlikely to earn much attention. 

The implication for 2027 planning is important: understanding customer priorities should shape the communication strategy before channels and campaigns are selected. 

  1. Where do we need greater trust, authority or influence? 

Awareness can tell you that people recognise a brand. It tells you much less about whether they trust it, value its expertise or will consider it when making a decision. 

Our research found that operators and industry influencers respond strongly to credible evidence, practical application and genuine industry contribution. 

Innovation, for example, has greater value when it demonstrates how it can make an operation easier, more efficient or more resilient. Sustainability claims become more credible when businesses can show evidence, acknowledge trade-offs and communicate progress honestly. 

For businesses planning for 2027, this raises useful points: Where do we need to influence decisions, and what would give us the authority to do so? That might involve customers, chefs, procurement teams, wholesalers, industry bodies, media or other stakeholders. 

  1. Finally, what communications activity will make a difference?

Once the growth objective and obstacles are clear, the role of communications becomes much easier to define. 

Perhaps the business needs stronger thought leadership to establish authority in a category. Perhaps it needs evidence-led communications to build credibility around a new proposition. Perhaps customer voices and practical demonstrations would do more to build confidence than another broad awareness campaign. 

And sometimes the answer will be to do less. The important thing is that activity has a clear job to do. 

Better planning starts further upstream 

Visibility has value, but commercial growth depends on what happens after someone sees you. Do they understand your relevance? Do they believe your claims? Do they trust your expertise? Will they involve you in the conversation when a decision needs to be made? 

Those questions deserve a place in the planning process. 

Before you lock down your 2027 marketing plan, make sure you have identified what is most likely to get in the way of achieving your growth objectives. That gives you a strategic basis for deciding where communications, marketing and other forms of commercial activity can help you achieve growth with greater certainty. 

Our Market Authority & Growth Roadmap is designed to help businesses take that step back: clarify the growth objective, identify the positioning, credibility, visibility and influence barriers that may be limiting growth, and establish where authority-building activity should focus next. 

Planning for 2027? Talk to us about where growth could get stuck before you decide what activity comes next. 

Insights & Trends

QSRs – is a lack of local relevance stunting your growth?

June 2026

By Rachel Taylor, managing director, William Murray

I had a great day at the QSR Redcat Media and Awards Conference on 22 June 2026, listening to operators, brands and suppliers unpack the future of growth. 

More data. More tech. More channels. More pressure on margins. 

But walking away, one thought stuck with me:   

Most QSR brands aren’t struggling to grow; they’re struggling to matter where it counts. 

Growth in this sector rarely unravels in strategy decks or boardroom discussions. More often, it is won or lost site by site, in local communities and on local high streets. 

Customers clustered in their differing localities don’t experience “the brand” in the abstract. They experience that single location, in a specific moment, in the context of their everyday lives. And that moment is far more fragile than many assume. 

If the experience feels too generic, inconsistent or disconnected, the decision is simple: customers will be indifferent.  And no one wants that. 

So how do you win? 

Look at how the high street is shifting and being redefined. It’s no longer just a place of convenience. It’s evolved to be something more social, more experiential and more community-driven – a space of connection, routine and identity: 

  • where people go to break up their day 
  • where older audiences seek a sense of connection over something simple such as a coffee and a slice of cake 
  • where date nights, small celebrations and everyday rituals play out 
  • where younger consumers spend time, choosing brands that say something about who they are because it’s social currency. 

This all points to the evolving role QSR brands need to play. The question has moved beyond: “How do we drive footfall?” It’s now: “How do we earn a place in people’s lives locally?” 

Are franchisees the most underutilised growth lever? 

Many QSR brands are stronger than ever centrally – with sharper positioning to more sophisticated channels.  But that strength doesn’t always translate consistently at a local level. 

This is where the franchisee comes in. 

They sit closer to what’s actually happening in local markets than any central team ever can. They see the nuances: how footfall shifts, how local competitors behave, what resonates culturally, customer profile types and what falls flat. 

That’s the missed opportunity when it comes to your comms programme.  

When franchisees are properly engaged and contribute to their localised comms plan, believe in it and are equipped to bring it to life, the difference is tangible. A QSR branch becomes embedded within its community, teams operate with more confidence and customers respond differently 

Why community comms is the growth boost needed 

This is where communications plays a far more important role in unlocking growth than it’s usually given credit for. 

Getting under the skin of each community to shape bespoke campaigns that capture attention and win mindshare makes a huge difference in a fiercely competitive market.   

Locally relevant comms strategies should not be viewed as a quick customised bolt-on task.  They are a growth strategy because no two locations behave the same or expect the same things. No single playbook can account for every local nuance. 

In today’s market, local relevance is the strategy. 

 

Want to hear more? 

If you’re looking at how your brand performs site by site and where the gaps are between strategy and reality, it’s worth a conversation. 

At William Murray PR & Marketing, we help QSR brands close that gap, building communications strategies that actually drive behaviour, consistency and growth on the ground.